Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 28, 2020

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Wed Apr 22 14:07:47 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jonathanchait And maybe a different way to frame it: reducing the number of undecided voters has reduced the risk of error in state polls, but the state polls now start off reflecting a very close race in WI rather than Clinton+6 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jonathanchait I think it's an open question whether that's what happened. But, either way, I think the point is that the risk of a 1.7 point national polling error is not exactly vastly lower today than it was then — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

And there's basically a whole piece-within-a-piece here on seniors, discussing the many factors possibly at play: --Generational change, as boomers now 60% of senior RVs --Coronavirus --Biden relative favorability --Polling biases, as many polls include too many old women — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 22, 2020 Hibernated