Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 21, 2020

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Thu Apr 16 18:52:45 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

TLDR: without any special steps to address it, older respondents to telephone surveys are wayyyy too female, helping Biden, and young voters are overwhelmingly male, helping Trump — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 16, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

One interesting trend in recent polls is that Biden seems to be doing a bit better among over 65, and worse among under 30. I think some of it is probably attributable to this: https://t.co/f38QjLa0u9 — PolitiTweet.org

I've been doing some fairly deep poll methodology dives in recent weeks--more later--and one thing I've learned (th… https://t.co/1WA0SV2RHo

Posted April 16, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

There are a few polls that take steps to help this--Selzer, Times/Siena, at least some polls fielded by SSRS. But most others, including very good polls like Monmouth or ABC/Post, don't weight on the interaction between age and gender, and you get this bias in the age crosstabs — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 16, 2020 Hibernated