Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

--Dems probably still underperform among LVs v. RVs (esp if you want to downweight Michigan), and particularly in the Sun Belt --In general, turnout is less of a variable than you think, though it can be decisive in any super close race and there's more variance in lower turnout — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@ArmandoNDK of course, as I've been written about before. but, it's still probably a point or more — PolitiTweet.org