Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 21, 2020

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Tue Apr 14 13:16:35 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Look, turnout was 50% higher than '18/19, despite a pandemic. There's a fairly straightforward explanation. And even if the Dem primary was irrelevant, the turnout was basically half of a midterm, let alone a presidential. Not high enough to be a relevant turnout indicator — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 14, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Hot take two: the results of a low turnout election held in the midst of a pandemic when one party has a presidential primary should not really move your view of Wisconsin, like at all. We have more polling there than any other state — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 14, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

One nice thing though is that we'll find out! We'll eventually get records of who voted, and match it up to our poll. In our WI poll 2019 poll, Trump was up 1 among 2016 voters, Biden was up 1 among 2018 voters and self-reported LVs, and 3 among RVs. We'll see about 4/20 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 14, 2020 Hibernated