Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 21, 2020

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Mon Apr 13 22:26:23 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

But at this point, the Dem overperformance is broad enough that it would definitely have to take some kind of weird reporting bias like this, where all the late results break one way, for Kelly to hold on. Obviously, reluctant to rule that out in these circumstances. https://t.co/NKG6pehy4D — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 13, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In the past, absentee ballots have sometimes been reported first or last, depending on county. And it seems there are at least some counties counting them together. You can get weird biases over time in the results, depending on method and difference btwn eday/abs — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 13, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Here's another fun way to look at this. Basically everywhere with meaningful vote counts is better for Dems than '19 https://t.co/3qMkbRDaZ4 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 13, 2020 Hibernated