Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 18, 2020

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Mon Apr 13 16:11:09 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

For me, there's too much variance in the quality of subnational non-live interview polling for me to toss it all together. That's not to say there aren't some ok or even good polls in this category https://t.co/FqCjlvKNtk — PolitiTweet.org

@Nate_Cohn Why are you only looking at live-interview polls?

Posted April 13, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In these same polls, Biden leads 54-36 among women, v. 51-36 for Clinton; Trump leads 50-42 among men, v. 45-41 in '16 RV. polls. Difference is small enough that I wouldn't be too confident this is a real shift, though it could be — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 13, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Next, some wonder about whether turnout will actually help Democrats. There are some demographic shifts that help Dems in this respect, like greater strength among older and well-educated voters. Still, the few polls applying screens/asking LV-type questions suggest GOP will gain — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 13, 2020 Hibernated