Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 18, 2020

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Mon Apr 13 12:38:23 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I do think Arizona stands out as a possible bright-spot for Democrats. They would be better off if they had a breakthrough in Florida, instead or as well, which I wouldn't really rule out given Biden's strength among older voters and the sparse polling there to this point — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 13, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Over all, Trump's probably doing 4 or 5 points--and perhaps more--among likely voters in the electoral tipping point states than he does among registered voters nationwide — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 13, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The older voter thing interests me. It's hard to explain and maybe Biden+10 among over 65 will prove to be noise. It's partially compositional change: Trump led by just 2 pts among voters over age 61 (65 now), with Clinton ahead among voters age 61-65 in 2016 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 13, 2020 Hibernated