Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 28, 2020

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Fri Feb 28 23:13:04 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I think the early voting question is an interesting one. I would guess that mitigates the effect in many--but not all--states. How much? I don't know. The 'enough time' question? That seems clear: definitely enough time. The Biden Comeback is going to be The Story for three days — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Does it go too far? I mean, quite possibly but I have no idea, and I'd guess we won't know until Tuesday, with so few polls likely to hit during that narrow window. And even if they do, the Klobucharge is a reminder that it may not fully show up in the pre-election polls anyway — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

On balance though, I'd guess that the average critical post in my reply is overestimating the importance of early voting here. It's not a massive share of the vote in most states right now. Decided voters are likeliest to do it; many Dems are holding back on their votes in CA — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 28, 2020 Hibernated