Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 27, 2020

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Wed Feb 26 18:42:46 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

This is driven by Biden's easy to overlook strength precincts where black voters make up a majority of Democratic voters in Nevada. There aren't many of them, but it's fairly obvious on the map (north side of Las Vegas) and in the data https://t.co/ogr63Ivg3X — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

If you model the result in South Carolina, based on the results in Nevada, here's what you get: Biden 36 Sanders 2… https://t.co/LFKJPLIUhj — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Of course, there aren't many of these precincts in Nevada. And black voters in NV aren't the same as in SC, and so… https://t.co/EzVoITz2ic — PolitiTweet.org

If we model the result in NV using Iowa precinct data, you get... Sanders 32, Buttigieg 18, Biden 18, Warren 16… https://t.co/5V3QYO7mFK

Posted Feb. 26, 2020 Hibernated