Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 21, 2020

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Fri Feb 07 12:52:13 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

A clear pattern, I suppose: online & live interview with full universe doing well; live phone with a constrained universe of voters (like last two primaries, in case of neighborhood research). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

A look at how the final polls fared, with all the vote in and... roughly counted. I can think of plenty of ways to measure pollster error in a multi-candidate race, and it's possible other measures are subtly different, but here taking the rmse of the Sanders - rest of top 4. https://t.co/JKDiuRHmsg — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

As an aside, I do think poll aggregator could have excluded some of these polls who didn't call the full universe of respondents, and we'd be better off. It's not like they'd add a poll of "White Wisconsin voters" to the average, even if they're >85% of the electorate — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 7, 2020 Hibernated Just a Typo