Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 17, 2020

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Tue Feb 04 22:53:58 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Over all, I see no reason to think that Sanders *will* come back. But Sanders is also close enough--and SDEs noisy enough--that I don't think you'll see any calls. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 4, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Under more systematic examination, I don't see much reason to think these precincts are fundamentally unrepresentative Characteristics of uncounted v. counted prec Bernie '16: 50% uncounted v. 51.9% counted Pre-election Sanders est: 24% uncounted, v. 24.8% counted — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 4, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Well, with live results is that you never know what's going to happen until you get the data. For the nerds: NAs instead of 0s, not expected; correlated error parameter for county results, not precincts. Missing satellite data. Now we may just be mean-medians on box plots away — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 4, 2020 Hibernated