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Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 12, 2020

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Mon Feb 03 17:44:53 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Most of you know that there are *four* different sets of results this year. They could all split. https://t.co/CZTc4mb0cg — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 3, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@kwcollins @micahcohen it was also my understanding--and i'll concede i'm not sure about this--that all yougov polls use MRP, and that they then rake their survey data back to their estimates so that they could have crosstabs etc — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 3, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Some of the splits are obvious: second choices could break one way, shifting the result from first to final alignment. And the tabulated vote counts and pledged delegates have split before (NV '08, for ex.) and could again under some fairly unlikely and arcane circumstances — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 3, 2020 Hibernated