Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 8, 2020

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Sun Feb 02 16:08:04 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

If Klobuchar didn't surge, like CBS, I'd wonder whether Pete lost out by not getting this poll. In our poll, at least, he would have been 2nd and closed to within 4 points of Bernie if we had used Selzer's screen and weights. He could use a late show of strength v Biden — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

And as I just alluded to but separately, the chance that a final poll from Selzer would have shown a gaining Klobuc… https://t.co/M0PuMamxQ0 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Anyway, we'll never know. But polls have been very consistent on their House Effects in Iowa, since the methodological differences are unusually big and highly correlated with vote choice. If the race is stable, I think we have pretty strong priors here — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 2, 2020 Hibernated