Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 8, 2020

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Sat Feb 01 17:27:17 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

That was true in the '16 caucus--see, Trump lead. It was even true in the '18 general--see, a Dem lead in the governors race. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 1, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

2) The Selzer poll is not perfect. It's good! Things it has going for it: no herding; a low design effect from a fairly simple set of weights; a really large sample for the caucus; the frame is the whole RV universe. But that does not assure a perfect result in this setting — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 1, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I only point this out because the Selzer poll has been put on a one-of-a-kind pedestal, not because these misses ar… https://t.co/BKX79NgCiD — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 1, 2020 Hibernated