Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 8, 2020

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Sat Feb 01 17:20:57 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Now, the DMR poll is not perfect. It's a poll; polls aren't perfect. It hasn't been perfect in the past. And these methodological choices are unusually sensitive in this caucus, and none of the options are prefect. If Sanders leads, it doesn't mean he's going to win — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 1, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Beyond that, the stringent self-reported likely voter screen and the absence of education weights are particularly bad for Biden, who has been at just 15 percent and no better than tied for fourth in the last two DMR polls — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 1, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

But I point this out as a matter of benchmarking what to expect here. If Biden managed to lead this poll, I think that would be a really good result for Biden, since it generally makes choices that have tended to reduce his support (rightly or wrongly!) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 1, 2020 Hibernated