Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 7, 2020

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Fri Jan 31 17:28:02 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@b_schaffner @A_agadjanian @Anthony_Rentsch @justinhgross the question is whether the pattern is bc young voters are likelier to lie, or bc they have a lower underlying turnout probability in regularly scheduled elections. if it's the former, it's a problem for our poll. if it's the latter, then it begs the question — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 31, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

A seeming outlier here but Klobuchar is over 10% in 7 consecutive polls, at least read in descending order on FiveThirtyEight https://t.co/troAA6SB4J — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 31, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@b_schaffner @A_agadjanian @Anthony_Rentsch @justinhgross in the times/siena data, it mainly seems like the latter. controlling for our pre-election turnout scores / vote history, young voters are only very marginally less likely to overreport intention to vote v. validation (while we have a similar result w/o control) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 31, 2020 Hibernated