Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 6, 2020

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Mon Jan 27 14:12:39 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In our poll, the voters who say they'll caucus look nothing like the voters who have ever told us they'll vote in our prior 100 Times/Siena surveys https://t.co/GntQUx5eqN — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

All this yields a big split in the polls, since the polls themselves split on their dependence on prior vote history to either craft the universe or voters who can participate in a survey or determine the likelihood of a respondent to caucus. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The bottom-line is that our poll found more than enough people who support Joe Biden for him to win and to explain why he leads other polls. But these Biden supporters, despite often being fairly regular voters, just didn't say they would caucus. It's that simple. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 27, 2020 Hibernated