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Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 1, 2020

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Wed Jan 15 14:30:49 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The Hispanic share of the electorate, on the other hand, seems poised to increase. But the states where that helps Dems most tend to be the states where Clinton was farther from victory — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 15, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

To be a little more direct about what that means: I think there's a real case that the the black share of the electorate could drop even more in 2020 in some of these states — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 15, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

All of this is broadly consistent with what happened in '18, when the black share of the electorate fell in the Midwest battlegrounds (compared to both 14/16), while the Hispanic turnout, let alone share of the electorate, was quite high by midterm standards — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 15, 2020 Hibernated