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Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 30, 2020

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Fri Jan 03 17:17:49 +0000 2020

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The extent that the decline in Detroit/Milwaukee turnout can be attributed to pop loss, not just the decline in turnout rate among black voters, is not going to be 100% clear until the census, given the limits of intradecadal subcounty pop ests https://t.co/T3GVhdmC9i — PolitiTweet.org

Reid Wilson @PoliticsReid

Counties that lost most population, 2010-2018: Wayne MI (Detroit) -61k Cuyahoga OH (Cleveland) -34k Cook IL (Chicag… https://t.co/d3Ft3rsxBw

Posted Jan. 3, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

And hey, maybe this wouldn't have happened if the GOP had stuck with Bush/Rubio/Romney-style conservatism rather than Trump populism. Now that they've pivoted, I don't see much reason why they wouldn't make more gains — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 3, 2020 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In Milwaukee and Detroit, the central city is part of a larger county, and the intradecadal census pop estimates--already imperfect--are particularly meh at subcounty level. It's fairly likely that the loss in the city of Detroit is larger than the census est — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 3, 2020 Hibernated