Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 22, 2020

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Fri Dec 20 13:06:51 +0000 2019

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

One thing, btw, is that I have to disagree with the view in my replies that a Dem breakthrough in TX like this would necessarily represent great news for them in other red states. It would in AZ, but it's no guarantee in the FL/NC/GA, which really don't have much in common w TX — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 20, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Well, it doesn't make it true, but Biden+5 in the US and Trump+1 in Texas, per recent CNN/SSRS polls, and Biden+1 in the recent Marquette poll of Wiscosnin do add up to a coherent picture — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 20, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

If you don't believe me, consider that Clinton improved a net-7 pts over Obama in TX, while doing worse than Obama in FL, making no gain in NC, and ticking up 2.5 points in GA. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 20, 2019 Hibernated