Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 20, 2020

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Fri Dec 13 19:51:11 +0000 2019

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@chrislhayes (and I'd note, AZ was the best for Dems in our poll. that doesn't prove anything, but it is quite consistent with the way I would be inclined to 'square' things) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 13, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@chrislhayes theoretically it's appx a net-50 pts, right? (50.1% of the vote in half of the population, 0-100 in the rest). In practice, a test is whether you think a state like AZ can leap-frog PA/MI/WI on the PVI list in 2020. If you do, then it's not hard to imagine 5 point PV-EC splits. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 13, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I wouldn't argue that the UK has predictive value for the US, but I would like to make an observation: though each case is different, the old bastions of the industrial-era left have often swung conservative--across the west--when they got a shot to vote for conservative populism — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 13, 2019 Hibernated