Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 12, 2020

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Fri Nov 08 15:07:23 +0000 2019

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jmartNYT @katieglueck If I had to guess, I'd say the 'closed' states should be better for Biden, since that yields an older and less educated electorate. But it's hard to see much evidence for it here — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 8, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jmartNYT @katieglueck Unlike the national polls (and many state polls), we surveyed the relevant Democratic primary universe in these states (reg. Dems in AZ/PA/FL, anyone who wants in WI/MI, reg. Dems + una in NC) More undecided in closed states, but otherwise doesn't seem like it made a difference — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 8, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@jmartNYT @katieglueck I would say the same thing about the demographics of these states. They're less educated than the country, which might have been a drag on Warren. OTOH they're a little whiter; maybe cancels it out. All in all, doesn't seem like a hugely different story here than the USA — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 8, 2019 Hibernated