Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 10, 2020

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Tue Nov 05 13:25:50 +0000 2019

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

It should, at least in terms of education weighting. The ABC/Post poll is a really good one, and I think they do RDD polling (random dialing) about as well as anyone https://t.co/4G4raxXwo5 — PolitiTweet.org

Question: does the @washingtonpost /ABC polling account for the problem capturing white non-college voters, as desc… https://t.co/rwIy3Q6tZw

Posted Nov. 5, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

My reaction at the time was to dismiss our polls as outlier-ish. There were only two, after all, and it was a big change from our prior surveys (4 and 7 pt shifts towards Trump). But we have a lot of data for analyzing this, and concluded later we were on-track for right reasons — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

For what it's worth, I'd guess our polls rea consistent with something like Biden +6 to +9 nationally among RVs, or Warren +2 to +5. If that's right--and that's an extrapolation to be fair--it would be close to the current national polling average, tho better for Trump — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2019 Hibernated