Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 10, 2020

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Tue Nov 05 00:52:01 +0000 2019

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@IChotiner And, on request, the Biden lead among validated 2018 voters by state--many of which look quite familiar... AZ: Biden+1.2 FL: Biden+0.1 MI: Biden+9.6 NC: Trump+1.7 PA: Biden +3.2 WI: Biden +0.4 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@IChotiner A few bonus tabs, corresponding to some points in the article. In Mich., Biden led among 2018 voters by 10 points, 51-41, and trailed among 2018 non-voters, 34-50--biggest gap in our polling (could be noise, small sample) Warren led among nonwhite men by just a 49 to 33 margin. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@IChotiner should note that you're cutting out 1/3 of the sample in each state, which adds some noise, and these subsamples not weighted to the 2018 election, which also adds noise. but overall, pretty close i'd say — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2019 Hibernated