Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 6, 2020

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Fri Nov 01 22:54:52 +0000 2019

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@PeterHamby and that's where we disagree. i think it's quite easy to imagine another candidate getting close, as beto did. there are basically no places in the country where republicans for federal office managed to win comfortably in places where trump's approval was even — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 1, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@PeterHamby this crosstab is more closely correlated with presidential approval than the similar national house vote, which at the district level was unprecedentedly correlated with presidential vote — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 1, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@PeterHamby even so, my point is not that there is no candidate effect for beto. perhaps he did a point, two, maybe three better. i can't run the counterfactual and, as i said, he's an above average candidate. but the core thing that's happened in texas is the president of the united states — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 1, 2019 Hibernated