Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 28, 2020

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Wed Sep 11 00:47:47 +0000 2019

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

He's netted 4619 so far, and if you just extrapolate by precinct you get to a projected net 8282, or 3663 to go. That covers McCready's current lead of around 2700. I'd guess most of the non-Meck parts of the district will be fairly close either way — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 11, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Well this thing is going to go on now for some time. One rough thing to watch is the extrapolated margin in Union, which is where Bishop needs to cover most ground. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 11, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Big mystery then will be Mecklenburg. So far, Bishop is running about 14 pts better on eday than election day in Union. If that held in Mecklenberg, then McCready would win what's out by 6 points. But who knows. And the size of turnout also very uncertain. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 11, 2019 Hibernated