Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 28, 2020

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Tue Sep 10 17:09:27 +0000 2019

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

--I think the Dem early vote is quite good. Obviously, we've seen a lot of nutso Dem early votes get erased over the years, and the GOP will certainly comeback on Election Day. But it is better for them than 2018, and 2018 was basically a tie, so? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 10, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I guess my case for 'true toss-up' or, if I was feeling bold, tilt Dem, would be like: --McCready leads a few polls --Dems did better in low-profile specials than in 2018, including rematches in OH12/KS04 --Trump's approval has fallen well below 11/2018 levels (let alone 7/19) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 10, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

And the early vote seems better for Dems than it looks based on party reg. It's highly concentrated in Mecklenurg/Union. The unaffiliated vote includes disproportionately Dem primary voters. Among Times/Siena respondents, early voters are better, controlling for demographics — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 10, 2019 Hibernated Just a Typo