Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 28, 2020

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Tue Sep 10 17:06:14 +0000 2019

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Interesting. I'm not sure I think it would be an upset, even though it would still be impressive for Democrats (and not a real concern for them if they lost) https://t.co/dsp2FeTvtn — PolitiTweet.org

Why I'd consider a McCready (D) victory in #NC09 tonight a big upset: 1) Trump won #NC09 by 12% in 2016 2) Even in… https://t.co/hhyQ3x7Pxg

Posted Sept. 10, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@SeanMcElwee @Jacob_Coblentz @MattGrossmann oh on closer look i do think there's a relevant difference worth considering. i exclude uncontested races and i don't see that in your code, and though there are not many it makes a difference — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 10, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I guess my case for 'true toss-up' or, if I was feeling bold, tilt Dem, would be like: --McCready leads a few polls --Dems did better in low-profile specials than in 2018, including rematches in OH12/KS04 --Trump's approval has fallen well below 11/2018 levels (let alone 7/19) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 10, 2019 Hibernated