Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 28, 2020

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Mon Aug 12 19:38:58 +0000 2019

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

But over the last month, the WI-USA gap in Civiqs has fallen the lowest level yet. Will be interesting to see if it lasts, especially if/when they show a rebound in Trump approval(when Trump is strong nationally, he's really strong in WI in their data) https://t.co/XoxnjtulAE — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 12, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The Civiqs data is one of many things that didn't make the cut in my Electoral College piece from last month. But Civiqs, on average over the long term, has had Trump approval a net-5 points better in Wisc. than nationwide--worse than the estimate in our piece. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 12, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Maybe a clearer way to show it: how much better Trump's approval is in Wisc. than the US in Civiqs. As you can see, Trump's edge there has persistently been above the his relative edge from '16 there (the horizontal line) But it's narrowed a bit tighter over the last few weeks https://t.co/JrbBQYfh7E — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 12, 2019 Hibernated