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Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 28, 2020

Created

Thu Jul 25 17:34:36 +0000 2019

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8

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1

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@NateSilver538 now i don't really think that's your core point, tbh. at the beginning of this exchange, you were inclined to argue that MC had meaning for the EC in the midwest. after the election, you thought the results did too — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 25, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@NateSilver538 this is as highest-precision as we get. it is high-quality data, very large n, calibrated to hard results. and that's not including the times/siena-based model or the election. it basically all says the same thing, and it's not terribly sensitive given the magnitude of the gap — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 25, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@NateSilver538 but i have conceded the whole time--whether in this piece or on twitter--that we can't precisely estimate the president's standing by state. we can say the preponderance of evidence indicates he still has an advantage, and there are reasons to think it's bigger — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 25, 2019 Hibernated

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