Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 10, 2020

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Fri Jul 19 18:58:48 +0000 2019

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@Redistrict but like, a 5 million vote gap between the national vote and the tipping point exists right now, based on the polls. it was already 4 million in 16, if you shift against Trump's .8 pts in Wisc. so I don't understand what you're saying here, unless you're disagreeing with that? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 19, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

For what it's worth, I'd subtly differ here. The conditions for a 5 million vote gap exist--right now--primarily due to shifts among white voters. The demographic trends described here can exacerbate things further, but the status quo is sufficient https://t.co/Y1EwMFqjKp — PolitiTweet.org

My latest: how Trump could lose by *5 million+* votes and still win reelection (guess @Nate_Cohn and I are thinking… https://t.co/erSONja6rS

Posted July 19, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

As I emphasize in the final section: '2018 isn't destiny.' There are many ways for this to change. But we can talk about the status quo--as you did in November, based on House results. And on balance, it suggests that today there's a larger gap than '16. https://t.co/jgwQFEWwI4 — PolitiTweet.org

The basic notion that Trump has an Electoral College advantage seems right, he obviously did in 2016, but I'm prett… https://t.co/lOkLjeaQoi

Posted July 19, 2019 Hibernated