Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 28, 2020

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Fri Jul 19 17:10:18 +0000 2019

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@tripgabriel i don't really think 2014 is the baseline here. the president's approval rating in both the exit poll and marquette data indicates that trump is holding firm since '16, and GOP has fared better than Trump there--unlike most places that swung anti-Trump (like dallas or orange co.) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 19, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

It is important to emphasize that this isn't necessarily enough to make the president a favorite to win. I have no position on that, seriously. And for now, his ratings remain under 50 in states worth 270 electoral votes. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 19, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@mcimaps in our modeling this does help democrats in florida (if you look at the turnout chart near the end, trump approval falls underwater in a 2020 electorate), but it still puts him basically where he was in 2016 or even better, rather than worse like rest of USA — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 19, 2019 Hibernated