Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 28, 2020

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Wed Jul 17 14:01:58 +0000 2019

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@BrianStryker @awmercer @EmGusk @Slate @yghitza @davidshor nationwide, this is a clinton+4.6 collection of polls--clinton 46.4, trump 41.8--compared to her actual 2.1 point win. it includes polls from all of october, so presumably captures some clinton peaks in the debates — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 17, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@BrianStryker @awmercer @EmGusk @Slate @yghitza @davidshor mo/in are tied, so that's familiar and quite large. over all, clinton leads 45-44 across what I'll call the political midwest -- MN/IA/OH/IN/MO/PA/MI -- a group she lost by 5.7. n = 3383 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 17, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@BrianStryker @awmercer @EmGusk @Slate @yghitza @davidshor based on this pretty cursory take, you could argue that the 'midwest error' is present in this set of RDD polls (i can imagine arguments against such a broad collection, way before the election) but the sun belt error isn't present. clinton seems just fine in CA, etc. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 17, 2019 Hibernated