Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 28, 2020

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Mon Jul 15 17:20:46 +0000 2019

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@RyanDEnos and more generally there's a very long history of midterm turnout being relatively favorable to the party out of power — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 15, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@RyanDEnos i don't see much evidence of particular white enthusiasm for trump. i also think, fwiw, that similar arguments were made about dems pre-12, where i think there was a real unique black turnout edge for obama. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 15, 2019 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@RyanDEnos i don't have individual level vote history that proves that those swings are due to a president's supporters moving out of the electorate in a midterm, and flocking back in pres, but that's consistent with the recent data and it is the easiest way to explain the longer term — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 15, 2019 Hibernated