Nassim Nicholas Taleb

@nntaleb ↗

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Last Checked April 5, 2021

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Fri Apr 02 16:30:47 +0000 2021

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@EmanuelDerman Same as Yom Kippur. It is not a happy holiday. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 2, 2021

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Ex ante, all 3 are equally likely (assuming a "fair" coin). Even if the coin isn't "fair", A & C are equally likely (memorylessness of the throw). Ex post, Fat Tony wd say "coin is loaded" but that's not what the question was. >36K voted. 21-33% got it wrong. #FooledbyRandomness — PolitiTweet.org

Throw a coin, H=head, T= Tail. Which sequence one is more likely? A={H,T,H,T,H,T,H,T,H,T,T,H,T,H,H,T,T,T,H,H} B… https://t.co/cYOgViS9bI

Posted April 2, 2021

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@AssalehAmer Natrak — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 2, 2021