Nassim Nicholas Taleb

@nntaleb ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 15, 2021

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Tue Jan 12 19:31:17 +0000 2021

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@dschan02 Precisely! The fact that we are not hearing about them IN SPITE of the odds of a few tells us it must be 0. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 12, 2021 Hibernated

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

With close to 100 M survivors, & a >0 rate of false positive & negative (not necessarily from test, but can also include symptoms), what can one expect as false reinfection? Yet there is a tiny % of pple who appear to have been reinfected. Let's work out the probabilities. https://t.co/mHfPfYPuet — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 12, 2021 Hibernated

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@dschan02 It is a mystery why we don't have 50K reinfections — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 12, 2021 Hibernated