Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
With close to 100 M survivors, & a >0 rate of false positive & negative (not necessarily from test, but can also include symptoms), what can one expect as false reinfection? Yet there is a tiny % of pple who appear to have been reinfected. Let's work out the probabilities. https://t.co/mHfPfYPuet — PolitiTweet.org