Nassim Nicholas Taleb

@nntaleb ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 15, 2021

Created

Mon Sep 07 16:24:48 +0000 2020

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@ndehouche @PTetlock CLueless — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Summary thread. A forecast MUST account for its own error. Since small probabilities are convex, uncertainty raises them. Nate Silver & Phil the Rat🐁 @PTetlock didn't get that ALL methods end up converging to the same price (Tetlock🐁 never understood the Brier Score). — PolitiTweet.org

Thus, we arrive at the great @nntaleb plot. With so much uncertainty and lots of time leading up to the election,… https://t.co/MVmAF3EStE

Posted Sept. 7, 2020 Hibernated

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@Monsantobuster @JudithCShields @aeberman12 Block trolls. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 7, 2020 Hibernated