Nassim Nicholas Taleb

@nntaleb ↗

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Last Checked March 29, 2021

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Fri Jul 17 18:34:33 +0000 2020

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

2/ There is a point in scale: fragility increases with scale, a bit more than a square-law (until it turns into a sigmoid) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 17, 2020 Deleted Hibernated

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Extreme Value Theory 101: Expected Maxima is always > Past Maxima, usually easy to compute for floods (tail alpha very stable). Too much of the defective "evidence based" BS in probabilistic reasoning. — PolitiTweet.org

When the Three Gorges Dam was completed in 2006, China proudly claimed it could hold back the worst flood in 10,000… https://t.co/xbKKcRIkrN

Posted July 17, 2020 Hibernated

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

This is heroic. 1) Zalloua stays in Lebanon to be honorable/not a deserter. 2) Joins the univ. of the Greek Orthodox Patriarch of Antioch (even better). 3) We are starting the EAST MED DATA SCIENCE CENTER. 4) Balamand is a 12 C Crusader outpost (Belmont), 6 km from Amioun. — PolitiTweet.org

I just declined a dream full time job in a wonderful institution abroad with great people. It was heart wrenching b… https://t.co/4UoxjbYP0m

Posted July 17, 2020 Hibernated