Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Extreme Value Theory 101: Expected Maxima is always > Past Maxima, usually easy to compute for floods (tail alpha very stable). Too much of the defective "evidence based" BS in probabilistic reasoning. — PolitiTweet.org
Things China Doesn't Want You To Know @TruthAbtChina
When the Three Gorges Dam was completed in 2006, China proudly claimed it could hold back the worst flood in 10,000… https://t.co/xbKKcRIkrN
