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Nassim Nicholas Taleb

@nntaleb ↗

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Last Checked March 7, 2021

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Wed May 13 11:49:11 +0000 2020

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

ERRORS 101 Never produce a point estimate for risk management, esp. in a fat tailed domain, rather show statistical properties. Never judge a risk management stance from point forecasts. These errors are promoted by the Idiot of Pennsylvania, Phil the rat šŸ Tetlock @PTetlock. — PolitiTweet.org

Matt Ridley @mattwridley

In various years in the early 2000s Ferguson predicted up to 136,000 deaths from mad cow disease, 200 million fromā€¦ https://t.co/ZafbcfBjDR

Posted May 13, 2020 Hibernated

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Why you should NEVER have awards in academia. — PolitiTweet.org

Kyle Wagner @GowagsKyle

This is from the book SKIN IN THE GAME by @nntaleb Do with it what you will! https://t.co/Rp273FR2gX

Posted May 13, 2020 Hibernated

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Paper with @DrCirillo forthcoming in Nature Physics later this week explaining the point, @mattwridley. Tail exponent <1, even possibly <Ā½ means NEVER issue a single point forecast and NEVER present an average. https://t.co/51GNm1cr5t — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 13, 2020 Hibernated