Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 16, 2019

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Fri Apr 21 17:07:09 +0000 2017

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

People's intuitions are REALLY bad when it comes to turning data into probabilities. Although, it's also real hard to build a good model. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 21, 2017 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If Le Pen beats her runoff polls by as much as Trump and Brexit COMBINED -- she'd still lose by like 12 points. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 21, 2017 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

But basically—there are few precedents for a polling error large enough to elect Le Pen, whereas there were MANY of them for Trump & Brexit. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 21, 2017 Hibernated