Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 16, 2019

Created

Fri Apr 21 16:54:48 +0000 2017

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390

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If Le Pen beats her runoff polls by as much as Trump and Brexit COMBINED -- she'd still lose by like 12 points. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 21, 2017 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

People aren't doing nearly enough to distinguish a 2- or 3- point deficit (Brexit, Trump) from a ~20-point deficit (Le Pen). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 21, 2017 Hibernated

Followed By

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

People's intuitions are REALLY bad when it comes to turning data into probabilities. Although, it's also real hard to build a good model. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 21, 2017 Hibernated