Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked March 16, 2019

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Sun Sep 25 13:54:21 +0000 2016

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

And second, much larger undecided and 3rd party vote this year. Leading 48-46 is considerably safer than leading 42-40. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 25, 2016 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

First, Obama was overperforming in swing states. So a 2% national lead was equivalent to 3% Electoral College lead. NOT true for Clinton. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 25, 2016 Hibernated

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This cuts both ways, BTW. Our model likely also gives a better chance than others to Clinton winning by 6%+. It's bullish on uncertainty. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 25, 2016 Hibernated