Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 3, 2023

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Wed Mar 08 18:44:38 +0000 2023

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@semaforben I think that's probably missing the forest for the trees. It's colloquial language; the rest of his email just seems to be about *removing it from Biden's column*. But mostly, the big sweeping media narratives about this story have missed the fact that Fox/AP did screw up in AZ. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 8, 2023

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's also notable that the New York Times *rejected* the AP/Fox call for Biden in Arizona, even though the Times usually defaults to AP calls. Funnily enough, this was not even mentioned in the Times' big weekend story on the Arizona call! https://t.co/OMT4jqug7N — PolitiTweet.org

@NateSilver538 Like, is it just impossible that would have had different inputs from everyone else so that it would… https://t.co/YR7yKXfleL

Posted March 8, 2023

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@semaforben The big NYT story on this weekend made it sound like Fox/AP had some sort of superior model. That's total BS. The Times's own data team rejected the Fox/AP call and were right to do so because Fox/AP assumptions were way, way off; they expected Biden to win by 7+ points. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 8, 2023