Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 3, 2023

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Sun Mar 05 20:34:29 +0000 2023

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@WashburneAlex Not that you needed it with this particular person but hard to have a bigger tell that someone can't think rigorously than to assign a one-in-a-million probability in an environment of intrinsically high uncertainty. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 5, 2023

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Another nerdy and probably obvious tweet. But it's important to keep in mind that when someone makes a big claim but presents poor evidence for it, you should adjust your beliefs *against* the claim and become more likely to assume the claim is false. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 5, 2023

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

"Winning the debate" can be accomplished by tactics such as being extremely annoying so the other party quits, but that's very much not the same thing as having made the better argument. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 6, 2023