Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 3, 2023

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Sun Mar 05 19:02:31 +0000 2023

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Another nerdy and probably obvious tweet. But it's important to keep in mind that when someone makes a big claim but presents poor evidence for it, you should adjust your beliefs *against* the claim and become more likely to assume the claim is false. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 5, 2023

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The NYT literally has the leaps-and-bounds best election night team in the business (Upshot) and they obvioisly didn't even consult them for the story! Juicy narrative though. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 5, 2023

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@WashburneAlex Not that you needed it with this particular person but hard to have a bigger tell that someone can't think rigorously than to assign a one-in-a-million probability in an environment of intrinsically high uncertainty. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 5, 2023