Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 3, 2023

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Sun Mar 05 08:57:04 +0000 2023

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jbarro They didn't have a better model. Making calls on election night is really hard. It's a thankless job. But there wasn't an adequate basis to call it early on Nov. 3. Not particularly close. They fired too early and got lucky. Narratives to the contrary should be viewed as dubious. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 5, 2023

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Neil_Irwin @felixsalmon Yeah to Felix's point, I'm pretty sure (as a person for whom restaurants is a big spending category and has some degree of public notoriety) that I already get "lucky" more often than average with things like table selection or maybe an extra appetizer. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 4, 2023

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It obviously doesn't justify Fox's indulgence of election denialism but the call of Arizona was premature and the NYT probably ought to have talked to a few practitioners about that for their story. — PolitiTweet.org

One caveat... What if @BretBaier was right about the call? I'm no expert, but from what I've read, the call may re… https://t.co/7O6DJXOjKV

Posted March 5, 2023