Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked April 3, 2023

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Sat Mar 04 23:45:24 +0000 2023

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Neil_Irwin @felixsalmon Yeah to Felix's point, I'm pretty sure (as a person for whom restaurants is a big spending category and has some degree of public notoriety) that I already get "lucky" more often than average with things like table selection or maybe an extra appetizer. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 4, 2023

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@VorosM I mean partly I'm deliberately test-driving things to gauge sentiment (particularly whether an idea "clicks" or I have to explain it better). Definitely park-adjusting results for the fact that people are assholes on Twitter though! — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 4, 2023

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jbarro They didn't have a better model. Making calls on election night is really hard. It's a thankless job. But there wasn't an adequate basis to call it early on Nov. 3. Not particularly close. They fired too early and got lucky. Narratives to the contrary should be viewed as dubious. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 5, 2023