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Nate Silver

@NateSilver538 ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 20, 2023

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Wed Nov 23 19:06:02 +0000 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Prediction markets estimate only a 20% chance of a major Twitter outage in 2022, which is in pretty stark contrast to much of the tech press which has treated one as near inevitable. https://t.co/phhsjdjBKy — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 23, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@thehowie I think people demonstrate a higher understanding when they directly bear the consequences of those probabilities (financially, medically, etc.). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 22, 2022

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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

10/10 election nerd tweet but Peltola-Sullivan gonna be interesting in 2026. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 24, 2022